Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.533182 6.231594 6.995415 7.894604 8.926500 10.076327 11.458308
2024-12-22 4.436441 5.336584 6.396860 7.744710 9.422106 11.453262 14.117735
2024-12-29 3.945000 4.990683 6.294918 8.055779 10.393290 13.420863 17.689691
2025-01-05 3.476794 4.576629 6.012109 8.046230 10.892144 14.788656 20.625156
2025-01-12 3.100523 4.219543 5.737006 7.977740 11.257720 15.970901 23.417457
2025-01-19 2.677975 3.744363 5.236262 7.515177 10.978599 16.161058 24.727733
2025-01-26 2.471710 3.548057 5.100454 7.552217 11.419680 17.446145 27.874190
2025-02-02 2.352882 3.463554 5.113014 7.803553 12.204675 19.341857 32.266636
2025-02-09 2.223557 3.348419 5.063845 7.945692 12.819924 21.022304 36.522836
2025-02-16 2.100579 3.230187 4.995619 8.043991 13.363934 22.634856 40.881610
2025-02-23 1.988908 3.118906 4.926010 8.128142 13.885073 24.258559 45.492274
2025-03-02 1.825382 2.909548 4.676992 7.877714 13.778604 24.718353 47.878001
2025-03-09 1.708993 2.772102 4.541396 7.821701 14.036849 25.923495 52.039822
2025-03-16 1.598571 2.636208 4.397251 7.736212 14.230307 27.028904 56.182946
2025-03-23 1.563895 2.627449 4.472803 8.061693 15.253669 29.925279 64.775435
2025-03-30 1.481974 2.528811 4.379096 8.055451 15.611657 31.486800 70.579992
2025-04-06 1.398745 2.421390 4.260249 7.987607 15.832760 32.779157 75.965992
2025-04-13 1.270088 2.222284 3.956494 7.524555 15.169411 32.032638 76.140898
2025-04-20 1.216451 2.158252 3.902386 7.561682 15.587986 33.789950 83.079519
2025-04-27 1.192632 2.148249 3.950449 7.813383 16.507900 36.839822 94.071661
2025-05-04 1.157297 2.113569 3.947251 7.955725 17.195508 39.427846 104.323258
2025-05-11 1.119346 2.071071 3.924986 8.054165 17.791444 41.872085 114.679233
2025-05-18 1.082319 2.027799 3.897685 8.138436 18.362664 44.334405 125.628638